Yesterday, Orlando Magic center, Dwight Howard, was named the 2009 Defensive Player of the Year. Aside from being only the fifth NBA player to lead the league in both rebounds and blocks, Howard is also the youngest ever to win the Defensive Player award. Now, while these are impressive – hell – legendary stats, they apparently aren’t the sole criteria to determine voting. For example, Hakeem Olajuwon led the league in both blocks and rebounds in 1990, and David Robinson achieved this same feat in 1991. However, it was Dennis “The Worm” Rodman who picked up DPOY honors for both of those years.
What the fuck, right? Well, without harping on it too much (because everyone else has already touched it a million times), there are no set rules to determine any of the regular season awards (with one or two small exceptions). Make them up if you like! While this can (and does) produce annoyingly inconsistent results, it does nicely open the door for criticism.
And with that inch, as usual, I’ll go a mile. First, let’s take a look at the top 10 players based on APD (Adjusted-Pace Defense) this year. This is essentially the method I used last year (just with a formula name change) to determine who I crowned the 2008 Defensive Player of the Year.
| 1 |
Dwight Howard |
C-F |
 |
9.6 |
2.9 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
92.3 |
13.02 |
| 2 |
Marcus Camby |
F-C |
 |
8.5 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
92.1 |
11.56 |
| 3 |
Tim Duncan |
F-C |
 |
8.0 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
88.4 |
10.35 |
| 4 |
Troy Murphy |
F |
 |
9.8 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
96.5 |
10.06 |
| 5 |
LeBron James |
F |
 |
6.3 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
88.7 |
9.77 |
| 6 |
Al Jefferson |
F |
 |
7.5 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
91.6 |
9.55 |
| 7 |
Kevin Garnett |
F |
 |
7.1 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
90.4 |
9.50 |
| 8 |
Al Horford |
C |
 |
7.1 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
89.6 |
9.08 |
| 9 |
Yao Ming |
C |
 |
7.2 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
3.3 |
90.3 |
8.86 |
| 10 |
Gerald Wallace |
F |
 |
6.2 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
88.3 |
8.84 |
APD – Adjusted Pace Defense
A (work-in-progress) weighted formula for combining everything a player does on the defensive side of a basketball court into one number. This number is then adjusted based upon the players’ team pace to provide a balanced way to compare players’ performances.
Stats through 4/15/09
Now, I understand that bigger players (especially centers) are the anchors of team defense and will produce most of the defensive stats. That’s why no one smaller than a small forward appears on this list. However, I’ve never been a fan of that idea as each position has different defensive criteria. Should a great defensive guard be overlooked by a good defensive center simply because the latter plays the more “important” defensive position?
Like I said, I haven’t made up my mind. But, I’ll check out what happens to the Top 10 when I look at difference in APD compared to positional average. First, I determined the league averages for each postion (guard, forward, center). If a player played 2 positions, his APD was averaged into both positions. Second, I found the difference between a player’s individual APD and his position average APD. If he played two positions, I would compare him against the taller of the two positions. Here are the results:
| 1 |
Dwight Howard |
C-F |
 |
9.6 |
2.9 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
92.3 |
13.02 |
4.04 (C) |
8.98 |
| 2 |
Marcus Camby |
F-C |
 |
8.5 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
92.1 |
11.56 |
4.04 (C) |
7.53 |
| 3 |
Troy Murphy |
F |
 |
9.8 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
96.5 |
10.06 |
3.69 (F) |
6.36 |
| 4 |
Tim Duncan |
F-C |
 |
8.0 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
88.4 |
10.35 |
4.04 (C) |
6.31 |
| 5 |
LeBron James |
F |
 |
6.3 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
88.7 |
9.77 |
3.69 (F) |
6.07 |
| 6 |
Al Jefferson |
F |
 |
7.5 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
91.6 |
9.55 |
3.69 (F) |
5.85 |
| 7 |
Kevin Garnett |
F |
 |
7.1 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
90.4 |
9.50 |
3.69 (F) |
5.81 |
| 8 |
Chris Paul |
G |
 |
5.5 |
0.1 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
87.8 |
7.84 |
2.47 (G) |
5.37 |
| 9 |
Jason Kidd |
G |
 |
4.7 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
91.5 |
7.69 |
2.47 (G) |
5.22 |
| 10 |
Dwyane Wade |
G |
 |
3.9 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
89.9 |
7.64 |
2.47 (G) |
5.17 |
So, by my admittedly weak formula, I would have to vote (if I had a vote to give) for Dwight Howard, as well. So, essentially, Dwight Howards winning the Defensive Player of the Year award is Project NBA Sim approved!
They haven’t been released yet, but here are my votes for the All-Defensive First Team players:
| C |
Dwight Howard |
C-F |
 |
9.6 |
2.9 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
92.3 |
13.02 |
4.04 (C) |
8.98 |
| F |
Marcus Camby |
F-C |
 |
8.5 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
92.1 |
11.56 |
4.04 (C) |
7.53 |
| F |
Troy Murphy |
F |
 |
9.8 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
96.5 |
10.06 |
3.69 (F) |
6.36 |
| G |
Chris Paul |
G |
 |
5.5 |
0.1 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
87.8 |
7.84 |
2.47 (G) |
5.37 |
| G |
Jason Kidd |
G |
 |
4.7 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
91.5 |
7.69 |
2.47 (G) |
5.22 |
And here’s who I would have to round out the All-Defensive Second Team:
| C |
Tim Duncan |
F-C |
 |
8.0 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
88.4 |
10.35 |
4.04 (C) |
6.31 |
| F |
LeBron James |
F |
 |
6.3 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
88.7 |
9.77 |
3.69 (F) |
6.07 |
| F |
Al Jefferson |
F |
 |
7.5 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
91.6 |
9.55 |
3.69 (F) |
5.85 |
| G |
Dwyane Wade |
G |
 |
3.9 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
89.9 |
7.64 |
2.47 (G) |
5.17 |
| G |
Kevin Durant |
G-F |
 |
5.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
93.6 |
7.38 |
3.69 (F) |
3.68 |